[Hidden-tech] The Simple Logic of the Pandemic

[Michael Muller]

Check this out, if you haven't already....

  * https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map

I used to live in Queens. My parents still live there, and they're 
currently stuck in Florida trying to get back there. I'm trying to 
convince them to stay put.


Mik

---
Mik Muller, president
Montague WebWorks
239-R Main Street, Greenfield, MA
413-320-5336
http://MontagueWebWorks.com
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On 4/24/2020 4:41 PM, Rob Laporte via Hidden-discuss wrote:
> That WP article's simulation is well done, except for one crucial 
> thing--it does not show the time scale. The last motion graphic 
> showing the spread when only 1 in 8 people move at all, ever, well it 
> just ends when it's starting to really spread.
>
> Easy-ish for a mathematician but not for me would be showing when if 
> ever would extreme social distancing and near-perfect mask use by 
> almost everyone result in enough recovered people blocking the spread 
> to as yet uninfected people such that, in the end, much less than 80% 
> of the population ultimately gets covid-19?
>
> Meanwhile, the US is at about 50,000 deaths, and at the highest 
> estimate maybe 10% of the population has been infected. That math is 
> easier to do; hard to accept.
>
> Take Care,
>
>
> Rob Laporte
>
> Chief Business Development Officer | Founder | Chairman
>
> DISC, Inc. - Making Websites Make Money
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>
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>
>
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> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
> *From:* James Triplett <jm-hiddentech at vj8.net>
> *Sent:* Tuesday, April 21, 2020 1:19 PM
> *To:* Rob Laporte <rob at 2disc.com>
> *Cc:* hidden-discuss at lists.hidden-tech.net 
> <hidden-discuss at lists.hidden-tech.net>
> *Subject:* Re: [Hidden-tech] The Simple Logic of the Pandemic
>
> Rob is making good sense here:
>
>          "The math on what's needed for herd immunity is quite simple as
> math goes, depending on transmissibility, and standing now at about
> 80%. Whatever this percentage is does not change the logic here."
>
>
> For those for whom "math" is scary territory, I saw a great 
> visualization in the Washington Post that allows you to see the curve 
> as it develops:
>
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/
>
> cheers,
> James
>
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