<html><head></head><body><div class="ydpd2e821a9yahoo-style-wrap" style="font-family:Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;"><div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false">One would definitely need more context and data. People in general are bad at risk ( what if you had a 9% or even 1% chance of dying every time you drove anywhere?!). </div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false"><br></div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false"> I would think the concern for most folks is: do *I* get anything severe? sure death is bad but long-hauling doesn't seem fun either. Some folks might even wonder: do I give anyone in my family anything severe? Actual community minded folks might even say: Do I increase the prevalence of suffering in my community/region/state etc...?</div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false"><br></div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false">If 9% of everyone 65+ died, we'd have bodies stacked everywhere. [or watch India in the next month I guess :( ]</div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false"><br></div><div dir="ltr" data-setdir="false">"Individual Risk" nicely assumes we are not connected.</div><div><br></div><div class="ydpd2e821a9signature"><div style="font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:16px;">-Garth Shaneyfelt<br><div>Let's Create a Better World</div></div></div></div>
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On Saturday, May 8, 2021, 12:31:35 PM EDT, Rob Laporte via Hidden-discuss <hidden-discuss@lists.hidden-tech.net> wrote:
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<div>Hi All,</div>
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<div><b>I’ve long thought the public should have a Covid risk calculato</b>r in which one could enter or click their age and comorbidities to get a probability of hospitalization, critical care, and death upon infection. Given the year plus of official date
now, it should be relatively easy to make a one that accurately reflects official data. For example, the CDC recently updated their “survival rates by age” behind which they provide more detailed data then this CDC summary::</div>
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<div>0-17: 99.997%</div>
<div>18-49: 99.95%</div>
<div>50-64: 99.4%</div>
<div>65+: 91%</div>
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<div>Backing out all comorbidities makes risks dramatically lower than the above. For example, the CDC reports that 78% of deaths come from the overweight and obese cohort.
<b>Many people would like to know their individual risk</b>.</div>
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<div>You would think our governments would provide this, but I could find nothing of the sort.<b> This Github project may be it</b>, but if it is a spreadsheet, my upload to Google Sheets didn’t make it work; perhaps it would work on Excel.
<a href="https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">
https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data</a> .</div>
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<span><b>For anyone who could handle the above, I have other Google Sheet work for my firm I’d pay for.</b></span>
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<span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif;color:rgb(102,102,102);background-color:rgb(255,255,255);font-weight:700;line-height:normal;">Rob Laporte</span></p>
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- Making Websites Make Money</span></p>
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